Donald Trump Is leading in the five states scheduled to hold primaries on April 28, according to an average of public opinion polls maintained by Real Clear Politics. Victories there could further cement his standing as the voters’ favorite of the remaining three Republican presidential candidates, but with it still unclear whether Trump will land at the July Republican National Convention with the majority of delegates needed for nomination, the battle rages on.
Pennsylvania is the biggest prize on Tuesday, with 71 delegates at stake. According to the average of recent polls, Trump has the support of 43.8 percent of voters. Sen. Ted Cruz is second with 24.6 percent. Gov. John Kasich of Ohio lags with 23.6 percent. Kasich has won only one primary so far, in his native Ohio. Even in his own state, he won with only a plurality of the vote and failed the gain the support of the majority of his homestate Republicans.
In Maryland, which offers 38 delegate votes, Trump is the leader with 41 percent. Kasich is far behind in second place with 26.3 percent. Cruz is in third place with 24.5 percent. Portions of Maryland are considered establishment territory because of its proximity to Washington, D.C. and the large numbers of federal agencies headquartered there, but the support for Trump and Cruz suggests Maryland isn’t impressed with its own status within the federal government.
The third-largest prize on Tuesday is Connecticut, with its 28 delegates. Connecticut is ordinarily considered to a bastion of moderate-type Republican establishmentarians, but Trump leads there with 49 percent. Kasich, who would appear to be temperamentally in synch with Connecticut Republicans, is in a distant second with 27 percent. The conservative Cruz has little support in Connecticut, currently registering at 19 percent.
Rhode Island offers 19 delegates. The last major polling in this small state was in February, when the number of candidates was larger. At the time, Trump was the overwhelming leader with 43 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida was second with 25 percent. Kasich was third with 14 percent. Cruz was fourth with 10 percent. Dr. Ben Carson was fifth with 3 percent. The withdrawals of Rubio and Carson would not appear to threaten Trump’s lead, considering Carson has endorsed Trump and Trump’s polling data throughout the nation do not appear to have greatly deteriorated.
Delaware offers 16 delegates. An April 18 Gravis poll showed Trump with 55 percent, Kasich with 18 percent, and Cruz with 15 percent.
With the primary and caucus season less than two months from its end, the avenue for victory by either Kasich or Cruz through gaining enough popular votes to win the nomination is closed. Both are trying to pick off as many delegates as possible to deny Trump a delegate to majority, and to act as old-fashioned power brokers at the July convention.