If Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton thinks, she is the stronger Democrat running she is wrong. According to a new CBS News poll released on Friday morning, April 15, 2016, Vermont Sanders Bernie Sanders would win in the general election by wide margins all the Republican candidates in the running.
According to the poll, Clinton would easily beat GOP front-runner Donald Trump by 10 points, 50 to 40 percent. Clinton has a harder time if the GOP nominee is Texas Senator Ted Cruz, beating him by only 3 points, 45 to 42 percent. Clinton would lose by six points if Ohio Governor John Kasich 41 to 47 percent.
Meanwhile, Sanders would beat any of the three GOP candidates remaining by wide margins, much more than Clinton. Sanders would beat Trump by a whopping 17 percent, 53 to 36 percent. The Vermont senator would beat Cruz by 12 points, 50 to 38 percent, but much less against Kasich, an edge of only 5 points, 46 to 41 percent.
As Sanders pointed out at the Democratic debate, his campaign has momentum. Sanders said, “When we began this campaign almost a year ago, we started off at 3 percent in the polls. We were about 70 points behind Secretary Clinton. In the last couple of weeks, there were two polls out there that had us ahead.”
Both Democrats have a demographic edge when it comes to women and younger voters, however, Sanders does better among young millennial voters and men than Clinton. All three GOP candidates do better among men than Clinton, although Sanders fares even with Trump and Cruz but not Kasich. The Democrats also have an edge with independents especially overtrump and Cruz, however, Kasich beats Clinton among independents.
Although they are their party’s front-runners both Trump and Clinton are also the most disliked candidates in the running. Trump fares the worst of the entire 2016 lineup, with 63 percent of all voters viewing him unfavorably. Clinton is also disliked but a little less than Trump 54 percent of the electorate viewing her unfavorably. Sanders and Kasich win the popularity contest; both have high favorable than unfavorable views among voters.
Among members of their party, the front-runners do better. Clinton and Sanders both have high favorable ratings among Democrats, but Clinton still has a higher unfavorable rating 20 percent to Sanders’ 12 percent. Even Trump sees a higher favorable rating among Republicans with about 50 percent, while both Cruz and Kasich have favorable ratings of less than 50 percent. Both Trump and Cruz have unfavorable ratings of about a third of all Republicans.
Sanders won the last eight out of nine nominating contests sweeping the Western states. Sander is still behind Clinton by 17 percent in delegate-rich New York State according to the most recent poll. New York’s primary is Tuesday, April 19, and the battle between the two candidates has become fierce. On Thursday, April 14, they had a bruising debate in Brooklyn ahead of the primary. Their main fight has been over qualifications and judgment to be president. Currently, Clinton has 1,307 pledged delegates, while Sanders has 1,087 pledged delegates, 2,383 delegates are needed to clinch the nomination.
A brokered GOP convention is likely since Trump would need to win 64 percent of all the remaining delegates up for grabs. The GOP convention rules are still not finalized, but it does not seem possible that Kasich could be the nominee; the rules committee is considering requiring a candidate to have won at least 10 nominating contests to be in the running in any brokered convention vote.
Another poll released on Friday, a new Rasmussen Reports survey finds that voters believe Trump will be the GOP nominee and the one to go up against the Democrats in November. According to the survey, 60 percent of the electorate regardless of party affiliation believe Trump will clinch the Republican nomination. The number is higher among Republican voters with 76 percent believe Trump will be their party’s nominee. Trump has 742 delegates, Cruz has 529 while Kasich has 143, 1,237 delegates are needed to clinch the nomination.
Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus told CNN’s Wolf Blitzer on Friday that the GOP would prefer to run against Clinton, the CBS poll proves why. Priebus said, “Much more comfortable and I think everyone that has analyzed this knows that Hillary Clinton is in the ditch. We don’t know how far in the ditch she’s going to go but she’s not doing well. She’s not even winning. She is not popular, unfortunately for her, she’s not likable.”
Blitzer pressed Priebus that Clinton has 2.5 million more votes that Sanders, and a million more votes than GOP front-runner Trump. Priebus responded, “I’m telling you I’d rather run against Hillary Clinton because she’s defined. She’s not liked and you know, in a popular cultural vote in America, that’s an important question. I don’t know what’s going to happen with the FBI. Put her unpopularity together with another unknown that could be even harder for her I’d rather run against Hillary Clinton.”