The 2016 Northern Trust Open golf tournament on the PGA Tour is taking place this week from February 18-21, 2016, at the Riviera Country Club located in the LA affluent neighborhood of Pacific Palisades, California. Here is a list of the betting odds for the PGA golfers to win the 2016 Northern Trust Open.
The Northern Trust Open dates back to 1926. Macdonald Smith (1928, 1929, 1932, 1934) and Lloyd Mangrum )1949, 1951, 1953, 1956) jointly hold the record for most wins in the tournament with four each. Ben Hogan and Arnold Palmer are tied for the second most wins at three each. Notable golfers who have won the Northern Trust Open twice include Phil Mickelson, Sam Snead, Fred Couples and Tom Watson.
All the PGA golfers with odds of 66 to 1 or less are listed below with comments. Then a bunch of notable golfers who have won this tournament before with much higher odds are also listed with comments.
Good luck to all the PGA golfers and especially the bettors this week at the 2015 Northern Trust Open at Riviera!
T-1. Jordan Spieth – 6 to 1 odds
Going into the 2016 Pebble Beach Pro-Am last week Jordan Spieth had said he was tired from all the traveling he’d done over the past three months and it showed in his play. Jordan Spieth ended up tied for 21st at Pebble Beach a full 10 shots off winner Vaughn Taylor. Spieth did shoot a final round 66 which could signal a return to form this week but is he worth betting at 6 to 1 odds as the North Trust Open co-favorite? Jordan Spieth was tied for 4th here last year.
T-2. Rory McIlroy – 6 to 1
Rory McIlroy is playing at Riviera for the first time in his career this week and he’s tied with Jordan Spieth as the betting favorite at odds of 6 to 1. In his last start, Rory McIlroy finished tied for 6th two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic. He was tied for 3rd two weeks before that at the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship. This is McIlroy’s first PGA Tour start this year. His last win anywhere was at the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai last November.
3. Dustin Johnson – 14 to 1
Dustin Johnson is the third choice in the betting odds at 14 to 1 but he’s played poorly this year finishing tied for 18th three weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open and then finishing tied for 41st last week at Pebble Beach. Dustin Johnson did finish tied for 1st at the Northern Trust Open last year but he lost the playoff to winner James Hahn.
T-4. Hideki Matsuyama – 16 to 1
Hideki Matsuyama did not play last week after winning the Phoenix Open two weeks ago. The win was the second PGA Tour victory for Matsuyama in 65 starts. Does his Phoenix Open win signal a winning streak for Matsuyama or was it just a fluke? Matsuyama finished tied for 4th place here last year so he likes Riviera.
T-4. Justin Rose – 16 to 1
Justin Rose played well last week to finish tied for 6th place. One of the things that makes Rose such a difficult bet each week is that he’s usually in contention but then ends up not winning. Rose has 13 wins on the PGA and European Tours combined and his last win was in October at the 2015 Hong Kong Open.
6. Bubba Watson – 22 to 1
Bubba Watson won the Northern Trust Open in 2014 and finished tied for 14th here last year. Bubba Watson missed the third round cut last week at Pebble Beach. The week before, he finished tied for 14th place at the Phoenix Open.
7. Sergio Garcia – 25 to 1
Sergio Garcia finished tied for 4th place here last year so he likes Riviera. Sergio has not been playing a lot of golf so far this year. In his last start on January 30, 2016, he tied for 7th place at the Qatar Masters. Sergio Garcia has 8 PGA Tour wins and 11 more European Tour wins but his last win was at the Qatar Masters in 2014.
T-8. Adam Scott, Jimmy Walker – 28 to 1 odds each
Adam Scott tied for 56th place at the Sony Open on January 14, 2016, in his only PGA Tour start this year. Scott has not won a tournament since May of 2014 but he did win this tournament in 2005. Jimmy Walker has not played badly lately as he tied for 11th place last week at Pebble Beach and he was tied for 4th place three weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open in his last two starts.
10. J.B. Holmes – 30 to 1
J.B. Holmes tied for 6th place at the Phoenix Open and tied for 11th place last week at Pebble Beach in his last two starts. So he’s not playing badly. For his career, Holmes has four PGA Tour wins with his last win coming at the 2015 Shell Houston Open last April. He beat Jordan Spieth in a playoff to get that win.
T-11. Charl Schwartzel, Bill Haas – 33 to 1 odds each
Charl Schwartzel comes into the 2016 Northern Trust Open fresh off a blowout win in the 2016 Tshwane Open last week on the European Tour. Schwartzel did not beat a great field but he won by eight strokes. Schwartzel’s only PGA Tour win was at the 2011 Masters. Bill Haas tied for 8th last week after missing the Farmers Insurance cut three weeks ago. Haas has six wins on tour but his last win was 13 months ago. He won the Northern Trust Open in 2012.
13. Paul Casey – 35 to 1
Paul Casey finished the 2015 Northern Trust Open tied with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn in regulation but lost the playoff to Hahn. Casey has just one PGA Tour win which came in 2009. He has 13 European Tour wins with his last win coming in September of 2014. He’s got talent but where’s the wins lately?
T-14. Matt Kuchar, Justin Thomas, Kevin Na – 50 to 1 odds each
Throw out Kevin Na since he only has one win in 307 starts (and $21 million in earnings). Matt Kuchar is another dubious bet since he’s not won on tour since April of 2014 though he does have seven career wins. Justin Thomas won the CIMB Classic last November for his first PGA Tour win. Thomas missed the cut in his last two starts.
T-17. Fredrik Jacobson, Harris English – 60 to 1
Fredrik Jacobson only has one PGA Tour win which came in 2011 but he tied for fourth last week at Pebble Beach and he also tied for 4th in his previous start at the Farmers Insurance Open. Harris English has two career wins which both came in 2013 but he finished alone in 3rd two weeks ago at the Phoenix Open in his last start.
T-19. Keegan Bradley, Jason Dufner, Danny Lee, Brendan Steele – 66 to 1 odds each
Keegan Bradlye is a major winner but he only has three wins on tour and his last win was in 2012. He tied for 24th at the Phoenix Open two weeks ago in his last start and tied for 4th here last year. Jason Dufner is also a major winner and he won for the 4th time on tour three weeks ago at La Quinta but has played poorly since. His ex-wife is Amanda Boyd. Danny Lee won the Greenbrier Classic last year for his first career win. Lee tied for 4th at the Phoenix Open but then tied for 30th last week at Pebble Beach. Brendan Steele has one win on tour which came in 2011.
- Charles Howell – 80 to odds
Charles Howell almost never wins on tour but he did win the Northern Trust Open in 2007 and he’s 80 to 1 odds to win again this week. His win here was his second and last win on tour in 458 career starts. Despite just two wins, Charles Howell has accumulated $29.7 million in earnings on the PGA Tour.
- James Hahn – 100 to 1 odds
James Hahn won the 2015 Northern Trust Open beating both Bubba Watson and Paul Casey in a playoff. The win here last year is the only win of James Hahn’s career to date. If you believe in horses for courses then you might wager a couple bucks on Hahn to repeat at 100 to 1 odds.
- Aaron Baddeley – 150 to 1 odds
Aaron Baddeley won the Northern Trust Open in 2011. Baddeley has three wins on tour but his last win was in this tournament six year ago.
- Ernie Els – 175 to 1 odds
Ernie Els won the Northern Trust Open in 1999. Ernie Els has 19 PGA Tour wins with his last win coming at the British Open in 2012. Els is 46 years old so it’s not impossible he could win again on tour.
- Fred Couples – 250 to 1
Fred Couples won the Northern Trust Open in both 1990 and 1992. Couples has 15 wins on tour but his last win was in 2003. He’s 56 years old and would break all kinds of records if he could win here at 250 to 1 odds.
- John Merrick – 250 to 1 odds
John Merrick won the Northern Trust Open in 2013. That is the only win in John Merrick’s PGA Tour career in 243 starts. Merrick has career earnings of $7.8 million.
- Robert Allenby – 500 to 1 odds
Robert Allenby won the Northern Trust Open way back in 2001. He’s 500 to 1 odds to win again in 2016. Allenby has not won anywhere since September of 2001.