New polls released Thursday indicate that Donald Trump, the front runner for the Republican nomination, has seen his numbers regarding favorability drop. According to surveys released by Real Clear Politics finds, on average, 30 percent of respondents hold a favorable view of Trump versus 63 percent who hold a negative one. Those numbers are roughly parallel to former President George W. Bush’s approval ratings during his final months in office, which set the stage for President Barack Obama’s landslide victory.
If the polls are accurate, the unfavorable status of Trump’s campaign is an opportunity for the GOP to back another candidate that they feel is more like minded from the establishment. According to a new Wisconsin poll, from the Marquette University Law School, show that Ted Cruz now leads Donald Trump in advance of the state’s primary next Tuesday. This poll reveals that Cruz is winning with the support of 40 percent of likely Republican voters in the state, compared to 30 percent for Trump and 21 percent for John Kasich. Compared to the last poll, there has been a significant change since mid-February, which showed Trump up 30 percent to Cruz’s 19 percent and Kasich’s eight percent.
Other possible problems for the Trump campaign have also been seen with another poll, The Marquette University poll shown this week that 70 percent of respondents disapproved of Trump. Clinton led Trump by 10 points, despite only tying Sen. Ted Cruz in the same poll. Another poll from Post/ABC News found that three-quarters of women polled held an unfavorable view of Trump. This poll was taken before Trump’s campaign manager, Corey Lewandoski, was charged with battery against a female reporter, Michelle Fields. It was also before Trump proposed “some form of punishment” for women who terminate a pregnancy should abortion be outlawed. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll the same month found 70 percent of women nationally held an unfavorable opinion of Trump.
Can Trump recover before Tuesday and the primary in Wisconsin? It is still a good chance he will win the number of delegates he needs but as the Republican primary nears its end, the states still to vote take a more liberal turn. In April, Wisconsin, New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote. All of these states favored Barack Obama in 2012. Trump is winning in polls in his home state of New York. Problem is Trump does need the vote of women to really be able win in November if he is the nominee. According to statistics, women, outnumber men in the general population to 51 percent, and they are the single most powerful demographic in presidential elections where they routinely vote 10 percent more have a problem, yes he does. Can he overcome it? That is the big question for supporters and non-supporters alike.