The anti-Trump movement is ruining the Republican Party’s chances of winning the presidential election in November, essentially handing Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton the presidency on a golden platter. According to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Saturday, April 9, 2016, The GOP will lose the election if they block frontrunner Donald Trump the nomination. A third of Trump’s supporters will defect from the party with some even voting for the Democratic nominee if their favorite is denied the nomination.
According to the Reuters poll, a third of Trump’s Republican supporters say they would not support the eventual GOP nominee if the party blocks Trump from the nomination. Most would vote for the Democratic nominee in the election, or a third party candidate or possibly not vote at all. While 66 percent of Trump’s supporters would support the eventual GOP nominee not matter what.
According to the poll’s results of the third that would not vote Republican in November 58 percent say they would “remain” Republicans, 16 percent would “leave” the party, and another 26 percent were unsure what they would do.
Reuters asked respondents to answer two questions, “if Trump wins the most delegates in the primaries but loses the nomination, what would they do on Election Day, and how would it impact their relationship with the Republican Party?”
Donald Green, a Columbia University political science professor and expert on elections, views the poll results as disastrous for the GOP. Green told Reuters “If it’s a close election, this is devastating news.”
The GOP establishment has been doing anything possible to block Trump from the nomination, mostly because of his offensive comments towards women, minorities, and other groups and other missteps that insult voter blocks and show a lack of knowledge on important policy issues. The party leaders see Trump as a liability for the party, what they do not realize is their actions will have worse repercussions. Most of the establishment are lining up and now supporting his primary opponent Texas Senator Ted Cruz hoping to force a contested convention.
The opposition to Trump has been successful; Cruz has been racking primary wins recently by wide margins, because of the party’s support and grabbing up delegates. Cruz has proved a formidable threat with the backing of conservative and evangelical leaders and voters, but he could never win enough delegates in the remaining contests and could only win the nomination at a contested convention.
Cruz and the GOP establishment’s anti-Trump campaign and the “Never Trump movement” are making it more difficult for the embattle frontrunner. Trump has been the frontrunner almost since he entered the race in June 2015. Trump has topped most national polls, and he is still the delegate count leader. However, he has not fared well in general election matchups against a Democratic nominee.
Currently, Trump has 742 delegates, Cruz has 520 delegates, and Ohio Governor John Kasich has 143 delegates. Trump now needs to win 60 percent of the remaining delegates up for grabs to clinch the nomination outright before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.