In the latest polling results from Pennsylvania, businessman Donald Trump holds a commanding lead over his opponents, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, and Ohio Governor John Kasich. The Fox News poll was conducted using the combined forces of polling organizations Anderson Robbins Research (D), and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll’s responses were given by 802 likely Republican primary voters who intend to vote in Pennsylvania’s upcoming Republican primary. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 3.5%.
As in New York State, Donald Trump holds a double-digit lead over his competitors. For this poll, respondents were asked, “if the Republican primary election were to be held today, who would you vote for”? Here are the results:
- Businessman Donald Trump – 48%
- Ohio Governor John Kasich – 22%
- Texas Senator Ted Cruz – 20%
Again, as in New York State, whatever Cruz is doing within the Keystone State is not drawing a lot of support. In fact, John Kasich is the second choice for Pennsylvania voters, and not Cruz. Were there to be a contested or brokered convention in Cleveland, Ohio, the second choice of Pennsylvania delegates would be for Kasich, and not Cruz. Cruz is having a difficult time gathering votes in the Midwest and in coal country, and that might come down to the type of campaign that Cruz is running. Rumors at the Colorado convention of possible malfeasance by Cruz supporters have drawn some very unwelcome attention to the way that voters see the Cruz campaign; a feeling that not everything is being done by the book, by the rules.
Cruz’s campaign of trying to sway already committed delegates for multiple votes at the party convention reeks of sleaze and a lack of ethics. Many of us believe that once a delegate has been selected to support a specific candidate, then they should remain committed to that candidate, unless the candidate has dropped out of the race, and only if the convention comes down to many candidates and votes.
In a head to head match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, both candidates receive 44% support, if the presidential election were to be held today. The number of undecided voters for this question was 4%, those who might not vote stands at 5%, while another 2% say that they will vote for an unlisted candidate.
From this poll, it appears that once again, Pennsylvania is going to be a battleground state in the 2016 election. At this point in time, the support between Clinton and Trump is even, making this race too close to call.