Wednesday, new polls released show a confusing and muddled results as there is the appearance of conflicting reports. First the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released shows that Donald Trump, the business mogul, front runner and billionaire, has fallen to second place in his campaign for President. According to the national poll, Trump dropped to second place, surprisingly to Senator Ted Cruz of Texas. The poll results show that Cruz is the first choice of 28 percent of Republican primary voters, I Trump gets 26 percent. They’re followed by Marco Rubio at 17 percent.
The poll was conducted between February 14th to the 16th. The poll was taken after the last Republican debate on Saturday February 13th. It was in that debate that Donald Trump challenge the theory that the Bush administration kept the United States safe. Trump said that whether you like it or not 9/11 did occur during the Bush administration. This new poll could be a sign that voters did not agree with Trump’s stance on Bush. This poll results also show that Cruz also leads Trump by 16 points in a head-to-head match-up. This poll is significant a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.
There was another poll that came out Wednesday that shows that Trump has a commanding lead in South Carolina ahead of the primary to be held on February 20th. Bloomberg Politics poll shows that Trump leads Cruz 36 percent to 17 percent with Rubio pulling into third place with 15 percent. The poll shows that Trump holds his lead over all demographic groups, and is doing even better than Cruz among those who identify themselves as very conservative or evangelical Christian. On nearly every question about challenges faced by the next president, Trump scores the highest.
Pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw this poll said of Trump, “From the size of the lead and the nearness of voting day, it is easy to say this is Trump’s election to lose.” Continuing she also stated about Trump that “while his linguistic choices turn off a majority of voters, he speaks for the people who want radical change in Washington. South Carolina may just be ready to forgive bad manners in exchange for what they see as a strong leader.”
How 2 different polls can come to such different results is not easy to explain. Whether this national poll will have influence over voters in future primaries is difficult to say. Polls in individual states show that Trump has a commanding lead. Cruz meanwhile, comes in a distant second with Trump leading by double digits. Trump supporters say the national poll is way off while the Cruz campaign believes it is proof he is the candidate the Republican Party should chose as it’s nominee for President. The primary season is just getting started so it is anyone’s game.