You may have heard or read somewhere that businessman and 2016 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has claimed that he is winning the popular vote, and here at the Examiner, we wanted to put that claim to a fact-check. So, we gathered up all the statistics that we could from Politico and from Real Clear Politics in order to give us some context about why this is important, and how it affects the race for president.
Thirty two states, so far, have cast their ballots for their presidential preference in Republican primaries and caucuses. Here are the raw numbers of how many people have voted for the remaining three Republican candidates so far during the 2016 Republican presidential primary season, courtesy of POLITICO:
- Businessman Donald Trump – 8,203,548 votes
- Texas Senator Ted Cruz – 6,584,861 votes
- Ohio Governor John Kasich – 2,964,777 votes
The popular vote of the people is a good barometer to use when determining who is truly winning the race for hearts and minds during this and other election cycles. However, it is not the popular vote which determines the presidential nominee for Republicans. Ordinary voters will vote in primaries and caucuses in each state to elect delegates to the national convention in July, scheduled for July 18-21, 2016 at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The number of available delegates is based upon the popular vote in congressional districts and on a statewide basis, depending on the state. There are also a number of uncommitted delegates that are chosen by party members at the district and state level in each state.
The Republican party has a requirement that the party’s nominee win a majority of all available delegates in order to win the party’s nomination, before or during the party’s national convention. The total number of delegates available is 2,472, and the winner must receive a minimum of 1,237 delegates to become the party’s nominee for president in the general election in November. We’ve taken a look at the delegate totals via Real Clear Politics, and present them to you here:
- Businessman Donald Trump – 755 delegates
- Texas Senator Ted Cruz – 545 delegates
- Ohio Governor John Kasich – 144 delegates
With the New York Republican state primary to be held on Tuesday, April 19, 2016, now is a good time to say exactly who is ahead in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Right now, Trump wins both the popular vote (by more than 1.6 million votes) and the delegate count, Cruz in second place in both statistics, and Kasich rounds out the field in third place.
With the numbers in front of us, Trump is making a very compelling argument that not only is he the people’s choice by over 1.6 million voters, just based on his strength with the people, should he fail to reach the 1,237 delegate threshold, that the nomination should be determined by the winner of the popular vote. In order for that to occur, a new rule will have to be debated and approved by the convention rules committee prior to the convention or during it.
In this fact-check, Donald Trump is right on the money. He is winning the popular vote by a tremendous margin. He is close to having an insurmountable lead in delegates, should he have a big win in the New York State Republican presidential primary election. Finally, as of now, he is the people’s choice. That should mean a great deal for each and every New Yorker that casts their ballot for Trump this upcoming Tuesday.