They might be their respective parties’ frontrunners, but Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are also the most disliked to run for president since 1992. According to a new CBS/New York Times poll released on Tuesday, March 22, 2016, both Clinton and Trump have the highest unfavorable rating of any candidate since CBS began the survey, with net negatives in double digits.
Trump is the most disliked candidate in the history of the poll with a 57 percent unfavorable rating among voters and only a 24 percent favorable rating giving him “a net negative of -33.” Meanwhile, Clinton closely follows with a 52 percent favorable rating, with only 31 percent of voters having a favorable view of her giving her “a net negative of -21.”‘ Clinton is more disliked than she was when she ran for the Democratic nomination in 2008 where she had a net negative rating of -2, and a favorable rating of 39 percent versus an unfavorable rating of 41 percent.
Before Trump and Clinton, another Clinton had the dubious honor of being the most disliked candidate. In 1992, Bill Clinton had a negative favorable rating in the double digits at -17 where his favorable rating was only 24 percent with an unfavorable one of 41 percent. Clinton’s opponent, George. H. W. Bush had a net positive rating of 1 but still lost. Clinton’s case shows that a candidate with a negative rating can still win the election, but his case was the exception.
Most of the election winners, however, had net positive ratings Ronald Reagan in 1984 with 20, Clinton in 1996 with 12, George W. Bush in 2000 with 10 and 2004 with 4, Obama had 12 in 2008 and 2012 had a flat 0 rating. The election in 1984 and 1988 were the exceptions where the candidate with more favorable rating lost. In 1984, election winner Reagan had a net positive rating of 20, but Democratic nominee and loser Walter Mondale had the highest net positive rating in the poll’s history with 30. In 1988, Democrat Michael Dukakis had a net favorable rating of 12, while sitting Vice President George H. W. Bush had only a net positive rating of 1.
The Clinton and Trump’s numbers reflect voters’ discontent this election cycle as they look away from the establishment for their favorite contenders. Trump also leading in the polls and delegate counts is one of the most divisive candidates in recent history with protesters clashing with supporters at rallies that are becoming increasingly violent, even towards the candidate. Trump’s greatest adversaries seem to be a member of the GOP establishment who are resisting that he will become the GOP nominee.
Clinton has a past of being divisive her recent tenure as Secretary of State, and her resulting scandal with her private email server does not help her popularity. The 2016 campaign was supposed to be Clinton’s coronation for the nomination; instead, she faced a tough battle with Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and only of late has emerged victorious in the fight, leading n the delegate count.
Voter discontent is also extending to American views of the two parties. The Republican Party is seeing their highest negative rating in the history of the CBS poll; with 66 percent have a negative view of the party the GOP and only 28 percent having a favorable view. The Democrats are more divided in the middle with 46 percent of voters having a favorable view of the party.
The poll also looked at potential election matchups between the candidates of both parties. According to the survey, there is only Republican that seems able to beat Clinton, Ohio Governor John Kasich, who does by 4 percent. Clinton, however, beats both Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who is second in the delegate count. Clinton would win over Trump by 10 percent, but only by 3 percent over Cruz. Sanders fares even better against Trump winner by 15 percent mainly due to his support from independent voters.